Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.036048 0.039367 0.042725 0.046370 0.050209 0.054126 0.058418
2025-09-14 0.031077 0.035983 0.041124 0.046889 0.053148 0.059714 0.067101
2025-09-21 0.027055 0.033058 0.039552 0.047042 0.055385 0.064340 0.074625
2025-09-28 0.024616 0.031543 0.039246 0.048343 0.058693 0.070006 0.083213
2025-10-05 0.021497 0.028929 0.037428 0.047704 0.059632 0.072896 0.088615
2025-10-12 0.019274 0.027142 0.036372 0.047765 0.061223 0.076407 0.094632
2025-10-19 0.017678 0.025954 0.035890 0.048381 0.063361 0.080475 0.101232
2025-10-26 0.016479 0.025146 0.035773 0.049352 0.065856 0.084914 0.108239
2025-11-02 0.014170 0.022736 0.033525 0.047596 0.064980 0.085315 0.110475
2025-11-09 0.012719 0.021335 0.032447 0.047192 0.065659 0.087494 0.114747
2025-11-16 0.011458 0.020092 0.031487 0.046863 0.066369 0.089664 0.118975
2025-11-23 0.010957 0.019867 0.031829 0.048169 0.069090 0.094253 0.126097
2025-11-30 0.010314 0.019415 0.031868 0.049107 0.071399 0.098415 0.132809
2025-12-07 0.009592 0.018797 0.031647 0.049681 0.073242 0.102013 0.138867
2025-12-14 0.008801 0.018013 0.031151 0.049857 0.074555 0.104951 0.144128
2025-12-21 0.008450 0.017880 0.031547 0.051217 0.077388 0.109781 0.151719
2025-12-28 0.007525 0.016763 0.030487 0.050557 0.077568 0.111281 0.155210
2026-01-04 0.006887 0.016059 0.029982 0.050622 0.078669 0.113919 0.160098
2026-01-11 0.006457 0.015667 0.029907 0.051263 0.080514 0.117491 0.166145
2026-01-18 0.006153 0.015467 0.030102 0.052271 0.082846 0.121684 0.172979
2026-01-25 0.005197 0.014022 0.028340 0.050449 0.081340 0.120943 0.173613
2026-02-01 0.004646 0.013260 0.027586 0.050030 0.081696 0.122569 0.177206
2026-02-08 0.004159 0.012570 0.026906 0.049688 0.082134 0.124284 0.180902